There are six major
types of financial models:
- Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model,
- Comparative Company Analysis (comps) model,
- Sum-of-the-parts model,
- Leveraged Buy Out (LBO) model, and
- Merger and Acquisition (M&A) model
- Book value model
The Discounted Cash
Flow model is built on estimating the lifetime net cash flow from operations
(free cash flow) of the company and discounting it to present (today’s) value.
It is the most popular model and most generally accepted.
The comparative company
analysis model uses financial ratios to estimate the value of a company by
comparing it with its peers (similar companies in same industry). This mostly
used by investment banking analysts.
The sum-of-the-parts
model is mostly used for conglomerates and companies with independent
divisions, it considers the total value if the different divisions are sold. It
is often used when some divisions are in a high growth industry and are not
fairly valued because the other divisions are in a mature or declining
industry.
Leveraged Buy Out
(LBO) model is used to determine the value of a company and decide if it would have
a return in excess of the cost of capital used to acquire the company. It gets
its name from the term leverage
which means loan in the business world. So a leveraged buy out is when a
company borrows money to buy out another company. And the LBO model is used
first to evaluate if the company is worth taking up a loan to buy out.
Merger and
Acquisition (M&A) model is used to value a company based on the added
synergy value it would have to the acquiring company. In real world, companies
acquire other companies for reasons that vary from tax benefits to acquiring
new technology to expanding to a new market to increasing market share. The
M&A model is used to evaluate this benefit before the actual acquisition.
Book value model is
used to value a company based on its net assets. Usually, analysts adjust for
illiquidity in disposing off the assets. A company I interviewed with that was
in M&A advising uses a model that takes capital assets at a percentage of
their actual book value. The book value model is not often used except for companies
that file for bankruptcy or companies that are to be sold off asset by asset.
In this training we will
focus on the most used and generally accepted financial model type: Discounted
Cash Flow (DCF). DCF is the best method for getting the intrinsic value of a
company as it does not depend on comparison with financial ratios that
fluctuate with market sentiment or book values that say nothing about the
companies’ efficiency in generating net income from them. It is also the method
with the most transparency as to inputs and assumptions.
More importantly, as
a financial modeler it is the model you are required to know at the least.
Other models are less complicated and can be figured out from their templates
once you are sound in building DCF models.
(There are other model types like Options Pricing model and industry specific models which I do not consider as major types). In the next post in this series, I will be walking you through a practical creation of DCF model for Dangote Cement using real/actual Dangote Cement data.
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